First round matches to watch at the 2024 OHSAA state wrestling tournament. Division 1 Weight Matchup Probability 120 #3 Garrison Weisner (Clay (Oregon)) vs #4 Blaze Van Gundy (Dublin Coffman) 56 / 44 132 #3 Kane Shawger (St Xavier) vs #6 Adam Butler (St Edward) 68 / 32 165 #4 Evan Rizzo (Brecksville-Broadview Hts) vs…
Category: Division 1
2024 OHSAA Wrestling Tournament Hub
Your one-stop shop to stay up-to-date on the 2024 Ohio high school wrestling state tournament State Tournament Pick’em Winners State Finals Matchups and Probabilities Updated Team Score Projections after Day 2 Upset Tracker A list of the biggest upsets at the state tournament Upset Tracker – updated through Championship Round 1 State Tournament Predictions Probabilities…
Division 1 District Predictions 2024
2024 OHSAA Division 1 District Wrestling Predictions What’s in the District Prediction Report? How the Bracket Simulation Works Each bracket is simulated 3,000 times using DubStat’s Elo ratings to produce win probabilities for each wrestler. We then count the number of times each wrestler made it to state (place top-4) in those simulations. For example, if a…
2024 State Duals Predictions – D3
Division 3 Ohio high school wrestling – OHSWCA State Duals predictions. Participating Teams Seed Team Dual Rank 1 Barnesville 1 2 Delta 3 3 Waynedale 2 4 Monroeville 11 5 Perry 5 6 Versailles 16 7 Pleasant 10 8 Miami East 4 View the full set of team rankings here. DubStat’s Projected D3 Bracket Duals were simulated using DubStat’s Matchup…
2024 State Duals Predictions – D1
Division 1 Ohio high school wrestling – OHSWCA State Duals predictions. Participating Teams Seed Team Dual Rank 1 St. Edward 1 2 Massillon Perry 2 3 Dublin Coffman 5 4 Brecksville 4 5 LaSalle 10 6 Springboro 12 7 Olentangy Liberty 6 8 Findlay 36 View full set of team rankings here. DubStat’s Projected D1…
2024 Ohio High School Wrestling Preview – D1
2024 Ohio High School Wrestling Preview – Division 1 Edition Ohio High School Wrestling Rankings – Division 1 – Division 2 – Division 3 It’s the most wonderful time of the year. Christmas is just weeks away, the college football playoffs will be set in a matter of days AND the high school wrestling season…
2023 Freshmen of the Year and Ohio All- Freshman Wrestling Team
2023 Freshmen of the Year Division 1: Alex Taylor (Mount Vernon) Division 2: Joe Curry (Bishop Watterson) Division 3: Tyson Seesholtz (South Range) Alex Taylor (Mount Vernon) After dropping his opening round match at the OHSAA State Wrestling Championships, Alex Taylor ripped off five straight wins to claim third place in the 215 pound division…
2023 Most Dominant Wrestlers
OHSAA’s most dominate wrestlers are calculated using available match data from JakesWrestling.com. Wrestlers with a minimum of 15 matches were included. The Most Dominate Wrestler rankings are based on each wrestlers average team points scored per match. Points per match as follows: Division 1 Leaders Three time state champion, Joey Blaze of Perrysburg is out…
2024 Team Projections
Which teams are the early favorites to win next year’s state tournament? Can St. Ed’s break the team scoring record? I attempted to answer these questions by removing seniors from team rosters and projecting the 2024 OHSAA wrestling team scores based on each wrestlers’ end-of-year Elo rating. Incoming freshmen are not included in the projections….
Match Result Statistics from the 2022/23 Ohio Wrestling Season
76,427 matches were recorded in Jakes Wrestling’s database for the 22/23 season. Here’s the breakdown of results. Match Counts Match counts increase as you move from 106 to 138 and then level off. Heavyweight Heavyweight results stood out: 1. Only 16 tech falls all season for all divisions (Jaxon Joy alone had 18 recorded in…
District Disparity – Division 1 Edition
“What is the toughest district?” This is a question wrestling enthusiasts attempt to answer at the close of every State tournament. While imbalances are apparent at the district level, the true disparities manifest at the sectional level – which we will delve deeper into during the following discussion. But first, let’s set the stage by…
Unleashing the Underdogs
A Look Back at the top 11 Surprising Victories of the State Tournament 1,240 matches were contested at the OHSAA State Wrestling tournament. 307 (25%) were considered upsets based on DubStat’s Elo Rankings. However, some were more impressive than others. Below are the top 11 upsets from the tournament: (generated using DubStat’s Wrestler Comparison Tool)…
A Cinderella Story
Magical Title Runs at the OHSAA State Wrestling Tournament Out of the 42 crowned champions, some had to overcome significant hurdles to earn their titles. Below, we highlight four wrestlers who defied the odds to achieve their magical championship runs. What’s particularly impressive is that none of these wrestlers won their district championships. Probability of…