Division 3 Ohio high school wrestling – OHSWCA State Duals predictions.
Participating Teams
Seed | Team | Dual Rank |
1 | Barnesville | 1 |
2 | Delta | 3 |
3 | Waynedale | 2 |
4 | Monroeville | 11 |
5 | Perry | 5 |
6 | Versailles | 16 |
7 | Pleasant | 10 |
8 | Miami East | 4 |
View the full set of team rankings here.
DubStat’s Projected D3 Bracket
Duals were simulated using DubStat’s Matchup Predictor.
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(View full lineups and all potential matchups at the end of the article)
Round 1 (Quarterfinals)
Top Half:
#1 Barnesville fields their best team in history with a potential 8-10 state qualifiers and 7-8 state placers. They should win 11 or 12 matches against Miami East in their first round matchup.
Perry is a team that’s built for duals. In fact, it looks like they could get their entire lineup to districts this year. They are the slight favorite over Monroeville in the 4/5 quarter, but with 3 toss-up matches, this dual could go either way.
Bottom Half:
Waynedale and Delta should both cruise, setting up an excellent semifinal matchup.
Potential Top-10 Matches in Round 1:
113: #9 Huntsman (Barnesville) vs #2 Shore (Miami East)
165: #2 King (Barnesville) vs #9 Randall (Miami East)
138 #6 Schmeltzer (Waynedale) vs #10 Bergman (Versailles)
(full lineups and all potential round 1 matches at the end of the article)
Semifinals
Barnesville vs Perry
This dual is going to be closer than expected. I currently have the match as a 7/7 split with Barnesville winning the bonus point battle.
However, I don’t realistically see Perry winning more than 7 matches, while Barnesville could pick up wins at 113, 120, or 126 where Perry is favored.
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Delta vs Waynedale
Delta will be the clear favorite in 7 matches, Waynedale in 6. The lone toss-up is 120: #6 Barnes vs #7 Skelly. If Waynedale does win 120, I favor Delta in the bonus point battle given a 7/7 split.
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Finals
Barnesville vs Delta is about as close as you can get in a state dual meet finals. Each team is projected to win 7 matches with Barnesville holding a slight advantage in bonus points.
As it sits, Barnesville is the clear favorite in 6 weights (126, 138, 150, 157, 165, 175). Delta is the clear favorite in 5 (106, 113, 120, 190, and 285).
3 toss-up bouts will decide this dual:
132: #45 Trigg (Barnesville) vs #31 Hernandez (Delta)
144: #4 Milhoan (Barnesville) vs #6 Lindermoot (Delta)
215: #28 Meade (Barnesville) vs # 21 Chiesa (Delta)
Delta likely needs to win all 3 toss-ups to win the dual, which is not an unreasonable outcome.
However, given that Barnesville only needs to win 1 of these matches, I give them the slight edge to take home the D3 State Duals crown.
Prediction: Barnesville and Delta split 7 matches a piece, but Barnesville’s big dogs rack up the bonus points to win the dual.
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Round 1 Matches
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Where are the locations for the boys state duals for this week? All divisions please.