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DubStat DubStat

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2024 State Duals Predictions – D3

By DubStat on February 7, 2024February 7, 2024

Division 3 Ohio high school wrestling – OHSWCA State Duals predictions.

Participating Teams

SeedTeamDual Rank
1Barnesville1
2Delta3
3Waynedale2
4Monroeville11
5Perry5
6Versailles16
7Pleasant10
8Miami East4

View the full set of team rankings here.


DubStat’s Projected D3 Bracket

Duals were simulated using DubStat’s Matchup Predictor.

(View full lineups and all potential matchups at the end of the article)


Round 1 (Quarterfinals)

Top Half:

#1 Barnesville fields their best team in history with a potential 8-10 state qualifiers and 7-8 state placers. They should win 11 or 12 matches against Miami East in their first round matchup.

Perry is a team that’s built for duals. In fact, it looks like they could get their entire lineup to districts this year. They are the slight favorite over Monroeville in the 4/5 quarter, but with 3 toss-up matches, this dual could go either way.

Bottom Half:

Waynedale and Delta should both cruise, setting up an excellent semifinal matchup.

Potential Top-10 Matches in Round 1:

113: #9 Huntsman (Barnesville) vs #2 Shore (Miami East)
165: #2 King (Barnesville) vs #9 Randall (Miami East)
138 #6 Schmeltzer (Waynedale) vs #10 Bergman (Versailles)

(full lineups and all potential round 1 matches at the end of the article)


Semifinals

Barnesville vs Perry

This dual is going to be closer than expected. I currently have the match as a 7/7 split with Barnesville winning the bonus point battle.

However, I don’t realistically see Perry winning more than 7 matches, while Barnesville could pick up wins at 113, 120, or 126 where Perry is favored.

Delta vs Waynedale

Delta will be the clear favorite in 7 matches, Waynedale in 6. The lone toss-up is 120: #6 Barnes vs #7 Skelly. If Waynedale does win 120, I favor Delta in the bonus point battle given a 7/7 split.

Finals

Barnesville vs Delta is about as close as you can get in a state dual meet finals. Each team is projected to win 7 matches with Barnesville holding a slight advantage in bonus points.

As it sits, Barnesville is the clear favorite in 6 weights (126, 138, 150, 157, 165, 175). Delta is the clear favorite in 5 (106, 113, 120, 190, and 285).

3 toss-up bouts will decide this dual:

132: #45 Trigg (Barnesville) vs #31 Hernandez (Delta)
144: #4 Milhoan (Barnesville) vs #6 Lindermoot (Delta)
215: #28 Meade (Barnesville) vs # 21 Chiesa (Delta)

Delta likely needs to win all 3 toss-ups to win the dual, which is not an unreasonable outcome.

However, given that Barnesville only needs to win 1 of these matches, I give them the slight edge to take home the D3 State Duals crown.

Prediction: Barnesville and Delta split 7 matches a piece, but Barnesville’s big dogs rack up the bonus points to win the dual.



Round 1 Matches

Category: Division 1, State Tournament

Post navigation

2024 State Duals Predictions – D2
Updated Rankings 2/13/2024

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1 thoughts on “2024 State Duals Predictions – D3”

  1. Wade Corder says:
    February 8, 2024 at 4:46 pm

    Where are the locations for the boys state duals for this week? All divisions please.

Comments are closed.

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