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DubStat DubStat

Ohio's wrestling and football data analytics site

2024 State Duals Predictions – D1

By DubStat on February 7, 2024February 7, 2024

Division 1 Ohio high school wrestling – OHSWCA State Duals predictions.


Participating Teams

SeedTeamDual Rank
1St. Edward1
2Massillon Perry2
3Dublin Coffman5
4Brecksville4
5LaSalle10
6Springboro12
7Olentangy Liberty6
8Findlay36

View full set of team rankings here.


DubStat’s Projected D1 Bracket

Duals were simulated using DubStat’s Matchup Predictor.

(View full lineups and all potential matchups at the end of the article)


Round 1 (Quarterfinals)

St. Edward and Massillon Perry will cruise to the semis while Coffman should win comfortably over Springboro.

LaSalle matches up well with Brecksville in the 4/5 quarter. Both teams are clear favorites in 5 matches with 4 toss-up weights (132, 138, 165, and 190). The winner of this match likely finishes in 4th behind Coffman while the loser goes onto win the consolation bracket and take 5th.

Potential top-10 matchups (Round 1):
120: #2 Mason Rohr (Perry) vs #9 Jaxson Rosselli (Liberty)
157: #8 Marshall Geckler (Perry) vs #5 Tyler Deericks (Liberty)
190: #8 Storm Beane (Coffman) vs #3 Matthew Kowalski (Springboro)
215: #10 Charlie Mitchell (Coffman) vs #3 Aiden Weimer (Springboro)
126: #7 Harrison Haffner (Brecksville) vs #3 Aiden Allen (LaSalle)
138: #4 Jace Jett (Brecksville) vs #2 Holden Huhn (LaSalle)
165: #2 Evan Rizzo (Brecksville) vs #4 Jack Wiillen (LaSalle)
190: #6 Riley McPherson (Brecksville) vs #7 Colin Wooldridge (LaSalle)


Semifinals

St. Edward vs Brecksville

St. Edward is favored in 13/14 matches. Brecksville is favored at 165, but could pick up another win or two at 126, 138, or 150.

Potential top-10 matchups:
120: #1 Karson Brown vs #10 Brett Stanley
126: #5 Khimari Manns vs #7 Harrison Haffner
138: #3 Kade Brown vs. #4 Jace Jett
150: #6 Lucan O’Brien vs #10 Zachary Aquila
165: #6 Aiden Peterson vs #2 Evan Rizzo
190: #1 JR Miller vs #6 Riley McPherson

Massillon Perry vs. Dublin Coffman

Perry is favorited in 9/14 weights and will pick up bonus in at least 6 matches. Coffman will need to pull a few upsets to make this a competitive dual.

Potential top-10 matchups:
120: #2 Mason Rohr vs #4 Blaze Van Gundy
157: #8 Marshall Geckler vs #2 Grayson Woodcock


Finals

St. Edward vs Massillon Perry

Massillon Perry has 14 hammers and one of their best teams they’ve ever fielded. However, St. Eds is a little better in almost every weight. This dual will feature some excellent individual matches with 10 top-10 matchups. Every wrestler is ranked in the top-20 and a potential state qualifier.

Prediction: St. Eds wins 10-12 matches and wins the dual by 35-40 points.

Potential Finals Matchups:

106: (#3) Timothy Mazur vs (#4) Lincoln Rohr
113: (#2) Ethan Timar vs (#4) Liston Seibert
120: (#1) Karson Brown vs (#2) Mason Rohr
126: (#5) Khimari Manns vs (#10) Emeric McBurney
132: (#9) Adam Butler vs (#10) Nate Dulcie
138: (#3) Kade Brown vs (#1) Charles Curtis
144: (#4) Ryan Bennett vs (#13) Cameron Plotts
150: (#6) Lucan O`Brien vs (#7) Brennan Warwick
157: (#6) Bradley Eaton vs (#8) Marshall Geckler
165: (#6) Aiden Peterson vs (#13) Landon Johnson
175: (#2) Ty Miller vs (#10) Caige Horak
190: (#1) JR Miller vs (#12) Landon Ristoff
215: (#6) Jonny Slaper vs (#18) Mike Millin
285: (#5) Nate Gregory vs (#1) Aidan Fockler


Round 1 Matches

Win probabilities below were calculated using DubStat’s Match Predictor tool.
View DubStat’s full set of individual rankings here.


Semifinal Matches


Final Matches


Category: Division 1, State Tournament

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Updated Rankings 2/6/2024
2024 State Duals Predictions – D2

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